Super Bowl 46: Giants vs Patriots Predictions in Superbowl 2012

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NY Giants Take On NE Patriots - A Fight to the Finish!

Super Bowl Showdown: How they got here

Patriots: 13-3 regular season record

Offense: not quite record setting, but obviously explosive. Its unusual for 2 of the top 3 receivers on a team to be tight ends, but they have everything else you expect from a dominant offense. Amazing quarterback and receivers, above average offensive line, and a solid enough running game to keep you honest.

Defense: ranking is terrible in yardage given up. When playing the Broncos, you have to wonder if the Broncos can keep up in a shootout. Do I need to keep going? They are healthy finally, and Brandon Spikes and Patrick Chung are playing well. Belichick is a genius, so maybe they can play well enough to get to the promised land.

Playoffs: Had the #1 seed and the bye. Had the good fortune of Denver upsetting Pittsburgh and therefore an easy win in the divisional round. Have yet to be tested, have seen the other two offenses capable of keeping up with them knocked out. Statistically, they were outplayed by the Ravens, but it was close and they won, so who cares?

Giants: 9-7 regular season record
Offense: solid on offense, but probably short of their potential. They are starting to play better, especially Nicks and Jacobs. They are still suspect on the offensive line, struggle with run blocking, and force Eli to throw before he is ready. When they are clicking, they are clicking. However, they are also too often in funks and go three and out.

Defense: Their front four is obviously playing terrific. However, it is too often that their front four are masking the obvious deficiencies of their back end. When they get to the quarterback, they are suffocating. When they don’t, there are holes available for the quarterback to throw into and score points.

Playoffs: Played the Falcons in the first round, and it was not a difficult game. They dominated the game up front and the Falcons got nowhere on offense. They went to Lambeau and outplayed Green Bay. They went to San Francisco and outplayed the 49ers. They created turnovers, got pressure, and moved the ball on offense. They have peaked at the right time.

How it will go:

AFC: Patriots vs NFC: Giants

Pass defense: Edge, Giants

Run defense: Edge, Giants

Pressure: Edge, Giants

Special teams: Even

Pass offense: Slight edge, Patriots

Rush offense: Slight edge, Giants

Protection: Edge, Patriots

Quarterback: Clear edge, Patriots

Coaching: Edge, Patriots

If the Giants win…they win the turnover battle and get points from someone other than their offense. They also will need to control time of possession and limit the amount of times Brady has the ball. If it becomes Eli vs. Brady, they probably lose. Any other controlling elements in this game and the Giants should win.

If the Patriots win…The game turns into a battle of the offenses and the Patriots are given the chance to win with their superior offense. They need to control the tempo of the game and not have it turn into a physical battle. They should be able to find holes in the back end of the Giants defense if they can stop the front line of it.

Surprise level at an upset? Minor. The Giants have the superior defense, and the Patriots have the superior offense. The Patriots offense is the best of the four units, so they should win, but it’s a close match. Also, the Giants are on fire right now as they dominated the 49ers statistically, if not on the scoreboard.

Prediction: Giants will win 31-24, having created enough pressure to stop the Patriots on several key drives.

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